It should come as little surprise that my NFL Projection Model once again sees the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills as the three best teams in the AFC. What might surprise you, ...

In this report, we present updated results for the macroeconomic projections model from the paper published in 2024 in the Journal of Policy Modeling by one of us and two colleagues, 1 incorporating ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Giovanni Malloy, Ph.d, is a data scientist and sports analyst. As fantasy football drafts get under way from sea to shining sea, ...

The Athletic launched our World Cup Tracker this week, a page we highly encourage you to check out. There, you can find a forecast projecting the likelihood that each team will progress through each ...

The Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) is one of the IMF’s standard frameworks for monetary policy analysis and forms a core component of a forward‑looking Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS).

We have just published a new preprint — What demographic prediction can and cannot achieve — that argues that the choice of model drives nearly all the variance in long-run demographic projections, ...